摘要: Three essential activities in strategic planning are: defining objectives, the projecting environments, and development of strategies. In 1986-87, the Army adopted a technology base investment schema which defined four investment ... 展开 Three essential activities in strategic planning are: defining objectives, the projecting environments, and development of strategies. In 1986-87, the Army adopted a technology base investment schema which defined four investment categories. These categories are emerging technologies, next generation/future systems, chronic problems and supporting capabilities. This 1989 conference was convened to obtain a projection of those aspects of the future environment that are not directly the outcome of defense research. The conference focused on projecting the environment as determined by (a) current programs for the modernization of Army systems, (b) evolution of combat doctrine from the current Airland Battle doctrine to the Airland Battle-Future concept, and (c) trends in economics, geopolitics, space and strategic defense, and non-defense technologies. The 1989 TBIS Conference considered factors well outside the influence of tech base investments, but which nonetheless have considerable influence on the results of technology base investments, and their future utility toward national security. Army modernization plans were reviewed to ascertain how and to what extent the technology base plans supported the modernization plans and took into account the external environment. This report provides conclusions reached during the conference and recommendations for future tech base wargaming. 收起