The May 2019 federal election resulted in a highly fragmented parliament. A seven-party coalition government with the support of 88 of the 150 members of the Chamber of Representatives (the lower house of parliament) took office in October 2020. We expect the June 2024 elections to result in protracted negotiations and a very broad coalition with ideological differences. This means that rifts between partners will be frequent and policy agreements will be hard to reach. Moreover, fringe parties are likely to increase their political presence while that of mainstream parties will probably diminish. The far-right Vlaams Belang currently has 15 seats in parliament, and is likely to increase this number after the 2024 elections. The larger presence of Vlaams Belang means that the debate about the secession of Flanders from the rest of Belgium will gain traction again in 2023-27.